To start, the group measured how diverse the gut bacteria were over time. They found that most patients had a decrease in bacterial diversity during the conditioning regimens before transplant, and the decrease became larger immediately after transplant. Most patients started seeing increases in bacterial diversity around 20 days after their transplants. Patients that developed bacteremia had a greater decrease in microbial diversity and did not recover this diversity to the same extent as those without bacteremia, supporting the idea that less microbial diversity in the gut correlates with higher risk of bacteremia. Their data also reaffirmed the previously reported finding that bacteremia is associated with worse survival outcomes in these patients.
Next, the researchers wanted to know if a particular species could predict bacteremia in transplant recipients. They identified E. coli, Klebsiella, coagulase-negative Staphylococcus, Staphylococcus aureus, Viridans streptococci, Enterococcus, and Gemella as the most common bacteria associated with bacteremia. Next, they calculated the positive predictive value for each species. “[Positive predictive value] is just a better metric [than p values] that clinicians can actually use to determine how predictive something is for a clinical outcome,” explains Martha DeMeules, lead author of the study. “There’s a difference between what is statistically significant and what is clinically relevant. As a clinician, we’re not looking at p values. We’re saying, ‘If I detect this, can I act on it?’ and that is why we relied on positive predictive values,” continues Fredricks. Despite all these bacteria having a significant correlation with bacteremia, the positive predictive value of each was very low. This indicates that monitoring transplant patient stool for the emergence of specific bacteria likely would not do much to prevent bacteremia.
Even though the group did not find strong positive predictive values for any bacterial species, their work revealed something unexpected about coagulase-negative Staphylococcus. Coagulase-negative Staph is the most common cause of healthcare-related infections. In this study, coagulase-negative Staph was the most common organism involved in bacteremia events “Typically, they’re treated as contaminants just because they’re really common organisms that grow on skin…When we saw that we were having bacteremia events related to coagulase-negative Staph, we weren’t entirely sure we wanted to include them in the study, but when we dug into it more, a fair amount of people with these events actually had coagulase-negative Staph in their stool,” says DeMeules. Currently, many coagulase-negative Staph bloodstream infections are attributed to infection of medical devices like central lines. Hospitals can be penalized if too many of these infections occur. These findings challenge this practice and suggest that a significant portion of these infections can be attributed to gut microbes rather than a catheter infection. “[The gut] is an underappreciated reservoir for coagulase-negative Staph, and that was a finding that was totally educational for us,” remarks Fredricks.
Efforts to support the gut microbiome of hematopoietic transplant recipients are ongoing. Fredricks and other researchers at Fred Hutch recently participated in a clinical trial where transplant recipients took a probiotic containing healthy gut bacteria during their treatment. This probiotic supplement reduced bacteremia and time in the hospital for transplant recipients. Fredricks hopes that actionable things like this new probiotic product continue to be developed so doctors can reduce bacteremia in their transplant patients.