To analyze how older adult populations are impacted by pediatric cancer survivorship, Fred Hutch faculty Dr. Eric Chow, Dr. Wendy Liesenring, and Research Associate Kayla Stratton joined a team of researchers across the country to estimate the lifetime risks of developing CHCs after chemotherapy or radiation exposure in childhood. To do this, the group used data from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study and other databases to statistically model the chronic health condition risk for these patients treated in the 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s. The group found that, when compared to age-, sex-, and calendar year-matched individuals with no childhood radiation or chemo exposure, pediatric cancer survivors were 2.7 times more likely to develop one condition by age 65. Among patients treated with radiation, this increased risk even higher.
Using their new model, the team drilled down to analyze impacts of sex, primary cancer diagnosis, and treatment decade on the risk of developing chronic health conditions. Risks were similar among male and female patients. Patients that were first diagnosed with central nervous system tumors had the earliest onset of these conditions, and brain cancer or lymphoma survivors had the highest overall risk of developing them. Blood cancer survivors had the slowest onset of chronic health conditions and the lowest overall risk of developing them. Risks of early onset decreased slightly between patients treated in the 1970s and the 1990s. Although it is unclear why risks are different between these groups, understanding chronic health condition risk across several factors can help guide lifelong care for pediatric cancer survivors.
This model for assessing risk is unique because it integrates the risk of several types of CHCs into a lifetime analysis. Other work in this field has focused on single outcomes after pediatric radiation or chemotherapy. While this has been impactful in shaping scientists’ and doctors’ understanding of pediatric cancer, integrating multiple outcomes into one analysis is ultimately more meaningful to understanding survivor health and well-being. The team hopes that this work will lead to better patient education and CHC preventative care for these survivors.